Interest rate

2022 - 7 - 21

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Image courtesy of "Independent Online"

More financial pain for consumers as Reserve Bank hikes interest ... (Independent Online)

The cost of living in South Africa continues to go up after the South African Reserve Bank (Sarb) increased the lending rate on Thursday.

Nominal wages are forecast to rise by 5.6% in 2022, 7.3% in 2023 and 5.7% in 2024,” Kganyago said. Headline inflation of 4.7% is expected in 2024, unchanged since the May meeting.— SA Reserve Bank (@SAReserveBank) pic.twitter.com/y8Zlyk6h2o July 21, 2022 Our forecast for core inflation in 2024 is slightly higher at 4.9% (from 4.8%). #SARBMPCJULY pic.twitter.com/wHjJunR4QR July 21, 2022 “ Russia’s war in Ukraine will continue to impair production and trade of a wide range of energy, food and other commodities. — SA Reserve Bank (@SAReserveBank)— SA Reserve Bank (@SAReserveBank) @KganyagoLesetja:Core inflation is forecast higher at 4.3% in 2022 (up from 3.9%), rising to 5.6% (from 5.1%) in 2023. The Bank’s forecast of headline inflation for this year is revised higher to 6.5%. Higher food, fuel, and core inflation are expected to keep headline inflation elevated at 5.7% in 2023. — SA Reserve Bank (@SAReserveBank)— SA Reserve Bank (@SAReserveBank) @KganyagoLesetjaA higher global oil price & rand weakness contribute to higher expected fuel price inflation for this year at 38.9% (up from 31.2%) & to 4.5% in 2023 (up from -0.3%). Local electricity price inflation is unchanged at 11.0% in 2022, 9.2% in 2023, and 10% in 2024. On the economy, the governor said, “The economy is forecast to expand by 1.3% in 2023 and by 1.5% in 2024, which is below the previous projection of 1.9% for both years at the time of the last meeting.” “Oil prices spiked to around US$130 per barrel in early days of the conflict in Ukraine. While oil prices currently sit at around US$106/ barrel, we expect them to stay higher than we did in May & to average US$108/barrel for 2022, US$92/barrel in 2023 & US$85/barrel in 2024,” Kganyago said. Statistics South Africa (StatsSA) yesterday said the annual inflation rate in South Africa quickened to 7.4 percent in June from 6.5 percent in May, rising above market expectations of 7.2 percent. The South African Reserve Bank’s MPC has decided to increase the repurchase rate by 75 basis points to 5.50% per year, with effect from the 22nd of July 2022.— SA Reserve Bank (@SAReserveBank) July 21, 2022 The cost of living in South Africa continues to go up after the South African Reserve Bank (Sarb) increased the lending rate on Thursday.

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Image courtesy of "Moneyweb.co.za"

Rand falls ahead of interest rate decision (Moneyweb.co.za)

Headline consumer inflation in South Africa surged to 7.4% in June, higher than analysts' predictions and ahead of a central bank interest rate announcement.

“Monetary tightening by the Sarb will primarily be aimed at anchoring inflation expectations and keeping up with the global wave of monetary tightening to avoid a further rand blowout and financial market instability,” ETM Analytics said in a research note. The rand weakened against the dollar in early trade on Thursday, as investors awaited the outcome of a central bank monetary policy meeting later in the day. At 14:56, the rand traded at R17.10 against the dollar, 0.20% weaker than its previous close.

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Image courtesy of "European Central Bank"

We've raised interest rates. What does that mean for you? (European Central Bank)

We are the central bank for the euro, and it is our mandate to keep prices stable. When prices in our economy are rising too fast – that is, when inflation is ...

These are the rates we offer banks that want to borrow from us and for the electronic money they keep with us overnight. In normal times, if inflation is too high because of too much demand chasing too few goods and services, we can raise rates to make credit more expensive. Many companies are also finding it more difficult to get the materials, spare parts and workers they need for production, which is worsening problems that were already there because of the pandemic. The same applies to interest rates: when businesses and people want to spend and invest, but they can’t easily get enough credit, interest rates tend to go up, because there is less credit available. We are the central bank for the euro, and it is our mandate to keep prices stable. So, the interest rate is essentially what the bank charges you for lending you money.

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Image courtesy of "Bloomberg"

Subzero Pioneer Denmark Mirrors ECB With Half-Point Hike (Bloomberg)

Denmark, which has had negative interest rates longer than any other country, mirrored the European Central Bank and raised its benchmark rate to protect ...

Denmark, which has had negative interest rates longer than any other country, mirrored the European Central Bank and raised its benchmark rate to protect the krone’s peg to the euro.

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Image courtesy of "The Guardian"

European Central Bank raises interest rates for first time in 11 years (The Guardian)

Bank surprises markets with 0.5 percentage point rise as inflation reaches 8.6% in eurozone.

Today’s decision shows that the ECB is more concerned about this credibility than about being predictable.” He said the causes of inflation would not be affected by the interest rate rise, but the ECB was wise to make a bigger splash ahead of a possible downturn. The collapse of Italy’s government earlier today increased the cost of Rome’s borrowing and put pressure on the ECB to step up its “anti-fragmentation” programme, designed to protect countries that come under debt financing stress. ECB officials have come under pressure from German, Dutch and Austrian officials to increase borrowing costs despite concerns that debt financing costs would escalate for southern European members of the euro currency bloc. The ECB raised its three key interest rates to 0.50%, 0.75% and 0% respectively, ending an era of negative rates dating back to the Greek debt crisis of 2012. Speaking at a press conference after the decision, she said the depreciation of the euro against the dollar had raised import costs, adding to inflationary pressures.

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Image courtesy of "BBC News"

Eurozone raises interest rates for first time in 11 years (BBC News)

The European Central Bank has raised rates as it tries to tackle soaring eurozone inflation.

"And then they had two years of the pandemic, huge crisis. The wages are increasing in Greece. The eurozone is vulnerable because it relies heavily on Russia for its oil and gas. As the huge investments that I'm describing are actually happening. And now they're seeing the energy crisis. When they happen, they will just live through it." Inflation is the pace at which prices are rising. "And there are a lot of jobs available and a lot more going to become available. The ECB began cutting interest rates after the 2008 financial crisis to stimulate growth, and took them as low as -0.5% during the pandemic. The bank says further rate hikes "will be appropriate" and that it will take a "meeting-by-meeting" approach to raising rates. It comes after the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve also put up their rates to try and rein in rising prices. The rate has been negative since 2014 in a bid to boost the region's economy after years of weak growth.

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Image courtesy of "Bloomberg"

South Africa Signals Faster Rate Hikes After Surprise Jumbo Move (Bloomberg)

South Africa surprised financial markets by delivering its biggest increase in borrowing costs in almost two decades and signaled a faster pace of hikes ...

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Image courtesy of "Euronews"

ECB hikes interest rates for first time in 11 years by larger-than ... (Euronews)

The European Central Bank has raised interest rates for the first time in 11 years by a larger-than-expected amount, joining steps already taken by the US ...

Even without a total cutoff, Russia has steadily dialed back gas flows, leading EU leaders to accuse the Kremlin of using gas to pressure countries over sanctions and support for Ukraine. The Bank of England started the march higher in December, and even Switzerland's central bank surprised with its first increase in nearly 15 years last month. It's difficult to get right as central banks reverse what has been a decade of very low rates and inflation. Thursday's decision means the ECB joins the likes of the US Federal Reserve and other major central banks in raising interest rates. “The economic outlook is worsening by the day," said Carsten Brzeski, chief eurozone economist at ING bank. Taken together, these factors are significantly clouding the outlook for the second half of 2022 and beyond."

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Image courtesy of "Aljazeera.com"

ECB hikes interest rates for first time in 11 years (Aljazeera.com)

Concerns over runaway inflation have mounted amid economic uncertainty in wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

The economies of eurozone countries have been particularly exposed to the war in Ukraine given their widespread dependence on Russian oil and natural gas. The ECB raised its benchmark deposit rate by 50 basis points to 0 percent on Thursday, despite for weeks guiding markets to expect a 25 basis point increase. The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates for the first time in 11 years.

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Image courtesy of "BusinessTech"

Reserve Bank shocks with 75 basis point rate hike (BusinessTech)

The South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has voted to hike interest rates by 75 basis points, taking the repo rate to 5.50% per ...

The world’s central bankers are unleashing the most aggressive tightening of monetary policy in decades to cool off surging inflation, Bloomberg reported. Growth in the third and fourth quarters is forecast to be 0.7% and 0.4%, respectively,” he said. The much-needed resumption of international travel and tourism will take time to generate large benefits,” he said. Risks to the inflation outlook are on the upside, with the Russian war in Ukraine a key stress point, Kganyago said. South Africa’s economic growth for 2022 has been revised upwards to 2.0% from 1.7% in the May meeting. “With rapid inflation and withdrawal of policy stimulus, the United States will also experience slower economic growth. The upswing has pushed real rates to the lowest in almost a quarter-century, Bloomberg said. Sustained policy accommodation, supply shortages and other restrictions have sharply increased the prices of many goods, services and commodities,” Kganyago said. The inflation rate reached 7.4% in June, the highest level since the global financial crisis and well above the 6% ceiling of the central bank’s target range. “Russia’s war in Ukraine will continue to impair production and trade of a wide range of energy, food and other commodities. The economy is forecast to expand by 1.3% in 2023 and by 1.5% in 2024, below the previous projection of 1.9% for both years at the time of the last meeting. As a result of higher global food prices, local food price inflation is also revised up and is now expected to be 7.4% in 2022 (up from 6.6%), and 6.2% in 2023 (up from 5.6%). The food price inflation forecast for 2024 is unchanged at 4.2%.

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Image courtesy of "Reuters"

Danish central bank raises key interest rate in wake of ECB hike (Reuters)

Denmark's central bank raised its key interest rate by 0.5 percentage points to minus 0.1% on Thursday, following a rate hike earlier in the day by the ...

Unlike most central banks, Denmark does not adjust rates to control inflation. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com

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Image courtesy of "Financial Times"

South Africa announces biggest interest rate rise in nearly 20 years (Financial Times)

The central bank increases cost of borrowing by three-quarters of a percentage point to tackle rising inflation.

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Image courtesy of "Bloomberg"

ECB Rushes to Tighten as Half-Point Hike Matched by Crisis Tool (Bloomberg)

The European Central Bank raised its key interest rate by 50 basis points, the first increase in 11 years and the biggest since 2000 as it confronts surging ...

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Image courtesy of "DailyFX"

ECB Hikes Interest Rates by an Outsized 50 BPs, EUR/USD ... (DailyFX)

The European Central Bank (ECB) hiked interest rates by a larger than expected 50 basis points as the central bank tries to get to grips with runaway ...

Retail trader data show 63.00% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.70 to 1. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current EUR/ USD price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long. The ECB also announced details of its anti-fragmentation tool (TPI), a new bond-purchase program designed to help member states with higher borrowing costs. The scale of TPI purchases depends on the severity of the risks facing policy transmission. The ECB’s new anti-fragmentation tool, the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) ‘will be an addition to the Governing Council’s toolkit and can be activated to counter unwarranted, disorderly market dynamics that pose a serious threat to the transmission of monetary policy across the euro area. The central bank said that further rate normalization would be appropriate at further meetings and that APP reinvestments (bond buying) would run for as long as needed.

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Image courtesy of "News24"

Interest rates increased by 75bps - biggest hike in almost 20 years (News24)

The repo rate has been hiked by 75 basis points on Thursday. This brings the repo to 5.5% and the prime rate to 9%. Three members of the monetary policy ...

The rand has already started to weaken in response, breaching R17/$ for the first time since 2020. This is the biggest hike since September 2002, when the repo rate was hiked by 100 basis points amid an emerging market crisis. By hiking interest rates, the Reserve Bank wants to cool down inflation by suppressing demand in the economy. The monthly payment on that mortgage has now climbed by almost R3 000 since November last year. The US Federal Reserve looks set to hike its key rate by another 75 basis point rate next week, in an effort to subdue inflation. This will drive inflation even higher.

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Image courtesy of "Helsinki Times"

Finnish borrowers to notice interest-rate hike by ECB, predict experts (Helsinki Times)

The European Central Bank (ECB) on Thursday announced it is raising its interest rates by 0.5 percentage points, 0.25 points more than it had signalled in ...

“It has been said many times that interest rates being at zero isn’t the normal state of things. If your interest rate is then adjusted and you’ve only paid a margin of let’s say 0.6 per cent for the past year or two, the end result will be 1.8 per cent. “On Friday, the new interest rate will be about 1.2 per cent plus the [loan] margin. Euribor 12, the most common reference rate for housing loans in Finland, had already priced in the expectation that interest rates will be raised by one percentage points between July and September. Nordea in June forecast that the 12-month Euribor could climb to about 2.75 per cent by mid-2023. You really should think about these kinds of things proactively.”

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Image courtesy of "Business Insider South Africa"

How much more you'll pay on credit cards, loans, and your bond ... (Business Insider South Africa)

The interest rate increase will take money out of consumer pockets – at a rate of R1,670 per month for a R1 million home loan, compared to a year ago. Here is ...

Base on those numbers, the cost of credit every month is up R55 compared to a year ago. At the highest rate of interest allowed, set at the repo rate plus 14 percentage points, that average R50,000 of unsecured credit is now just about R80 per month more expensive than it was in July 2021. Here's how much the interest rate increase will cost you in rand terms compared to a year ago, based on the average costs of homes and cars, average short-term borrowing, and typical or maximum interest rates. First-time buyers and those who have to stretch farther to afford a home tend to pay above prime, while those in better financial shape can get rates at below prime, so the impact of an interest rate increase is predominantly felt by the less-than-rich. - The interest rate increase will take money out of consumer pockets – at a rate of R1,670 per month for a R1 million home loan, compared to a year ago. The big-jump increase in rates – the biggest single increase in interest rates since 2002 – comes just after Statistics South Africa announced the highest rate of consumer inflation South Africa has recorded in 13 years.

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Image courtesy of "BusinessTech"

How much more you will pay on your bond after South Africa's latest ... (BusinessTech)

The South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) on Thursday (21 July), hiked the repo rate by 75 basis points to 5.5% – taking the…

New monthly cost (9%) “Banks’ lending criteria will be getting stricter, but they’re also likely to have fewer applicants as affordability declines,” he said. “In reality, we spent the full four years preceding the pandemic with prime hovering between 10% and 10.5%. Even if the SARB continues its current rate of hikes, we won’t hit those pre-pandemic levels for many months to come.” Seeff said other factors could have a bigger impact on the local property market. He said that while the SARB is understandably faced with a difficult task and the rate hike may support the currency, this alone will not turn the tide. “The reality is that the weaker rand and inflation spike to 7.4% has accelerated rate increases.

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Image courtesy of "Independent Online"

Interest rate hike will plunge SA consumers into new levels of ... (Independent Online)

OPINION: Debt Rescue has seen a sharp surge in the number of South Africans seeking debt relief. My advice to those who are in a debt trap is to remember ...

OPINION: Debt Rescue has seen a sharp surge in the number of South Africans seeking debt relief. Seek help from a registered debt counsellor who can assist you manage your financial predicament. Are we going to see half the nation going hungry by the end of the year? Already we have seven million people suffering from chronic hunger, and 20 million people are going to bed hungry every night. In fact, many more will now be looking at financial devastation in the eye. To make matters worse, SA’s financial market gurus are already warning that consumers should brace themselves for yet higher interest rates this year amid accelerating global inflation.

South Africa: Even Tougher Times Ahead With Highest Interest Rate ... (AllAfrica.com)

South Africans waited with baited breath once again in anticipation of the Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee announcement on an interest rate hike on ...

In this uncertain environment, monetary policy decisions will continue to be data dependent and sensitive to the balance of risks to the outlook. The MPC will seek to look through temporary price shocks and focus on potential second round effects and the risks of de-anchoring inflation expectations. South Africa has seen an inflation rate hike of 7.4% in June - a huge jump from 6.5% in May this year, which has also influenced the MPC's decision.

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